Showing posts with label Quinnipiac. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Quinnipiac. Show all posts

Thursday, July 31, 2008

Zogby: Another "Outlier" Showing a Dead Heat Between Bob Schaffer and Mark Udall

Zogby releases today a poll conducted in June - it might as well be ancient history. Yes, Zogby isn't as reliable as - say, Rasmussen - or Quinnipiac, but it's just another in the collection of "outlier" polls that show Colorado's U.S. Senate race to be essentially tied. Writes Zogby:
Democrat Mark Udall will need a larger share of the Hispanic vote to take this seat currently held by Republican Wayne Allard. Udall and Republican Bob Schaffer are even at 40%. One-half of Hispanics are undecided.
Interesting that the Zogby poll found the contest so close even before Bob Schaffer wiped the floor with Mark Udall in the first debate.

Fasten your seat belts. It looks like a bumpy ride - especially for Mark Udall.

Thursday, July 24, 2008

Schaffer, Udall In "Dead Heat", Tied 44-44

Looks like Mark Udall is taking a u-turn in terms of support from Colorado voters.

One poll? An outlier.

Two polls in a row? A trend--possibly.

Things aren't looking to good for our favorite Boulder liberal, Mark Udall:
In the U.S. Senate race, U.S. Rep. Mark Udall, the Democrat, and Republican Robert Schaffer are tied 44 - 44 percent, compared to a 48 - 38 percent Udall lead June 26.
Schaffer managed to erase (and Udall managed to lose) a ten-point deficit in under a month.

Some of the spinmeisters at ColoradoPols have been working themselves up into a lather making excuses about poll reliability, the fact its only July, etc., when only a week ago they were trumpeting the CQ politics "leans Dem" prognostication and the double-digit polls as unassailable proof of Udall's electability and Schaffer's weaknesses as a candidate.

Then we had the first debate . . .

The two newest polls showing that Schaffer has closed the gap in overall poll numbers, independents (Udall's lead shrank from 21% to just 4%), and favorability (tied at 54%).

Of course this is still July, but rumors of Schaffer's early demise appear to have been greatly exaggerated. If these two new polls represent a trend, then we can expect the race to continue to be neck-and-neck going into November, a true toss up, and one of the most watched races in the country.

And we still have more debates and the DNC to come.