Tuesday, September 23, 2008

New National Journal Poll: Schaffer-Udall Race Within Margin of Error

A reader has tipped us to the release of a new poll in Colorado's U.S. Senate race that shows the two candidates within the margin of error. The survey was conducted from September 11-15 by Allstate/National Journal among 402 registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent (no free link available):
M. Udall 41%
B. Schaffer 38
Undec 19
Not the most reliable of polls, but it follows the recent trend showing the race in a tie or a slight lead for Mark Udall. Interestingly, the raw numbers are the same as a Schaffer-sponsored poll released in late August.

1 comment:

Alex said...

Indeed, not the most reliable of poll at all. bellow average sample size of 402, and a significantly above average margin of error of 5 percent.

Fear not, the reliable polling agencies of PPP and Quinnipiac/QSJ/Post have release some more recent polls!

PPP's poll conducted on 9/20-21 with a sample size of 1048 found the race closer to 48-40 with Udall in the lead. Meanwhile, Quinnipiac's poll conducted on 9/14-21 with N=1418 found the exact same thing, with Udall in the lead 48-40. Both had a margin of error of +/- 3%.

All this information, with links to the original polling sites (missing in your post), can be found here: http://www.pollster.com/polls/co/08-co-sen-ge-svu.php

keep up the good work chaps!